A world made of gears. Doing both speed premium short term updates and long term world model building. Explorations include AI, policy, rationality, Covid and medicine, strategy games and game design, and more.
P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.
Consistently one of the best blogs on the internet, Scott Alexander manages to be simultaneously readable and deep as he explores science, culture, philosophy, and the occasional pun. Many of my best ideas came from Scott.